The Stakes Are Rising

Key Storylines to Watch

1. Arch Manning’s Growth Curve

2. Mississippi State’s Urgency

There’s a certain desperation that comes with being 0–3 in conference play, and that might be the most dangerous part of this matchup for Texas. Mississippi State has nothing to lose — and that often creates fearless, aggressive football. Expect creative play-calling, trick plays, and a fired-up defense. Quarterback Blake Shapen will look to exploit holes in Texas’s secondary, especially on intermediate throws and misdirection plays.

3. Can Texas Establish the Run?

One of the biggest keys for the Longhorns will be establishing the run early. When Texas gets its ground game going, everything else opens up. It gives Manning time in the pocket, opens up play-action, and wears down opposing defenses. If the offensive line can create space, running backs like Jonathon Brooks could have a big day. But if Mississippi State stuffs the run early, Texas might be forced into a one-dimensional offense — which could spell trouble.

4. The Turnover Battle

Turnovers often decide close games, and both teams are built to capitalize. Texas has built a strong turnover margin this season thanks to a ball-hawking secondary and aggressive front seven. Mississippi State, too, has forced its share of fumbles and interceptions, particularly in red zone situations. Whoever wins the turnover battle in this game could very well win the game itself.

Coaching Chess Match

Steve Sarkisian has guided Texas with a firm hand, managing both egos and expectations while navigating the SEC for the first time. He knows that every game in this conference counts, and a road loss could be devastating for Texas’s ranking and postseason hopes. Expect a game plan that is smart, balanced, and cautious early before taking bigger risks late.

On the other sideline, Mississippi State’s coaching staff is coaching with urgency. A win against a blue-blood program like Texas would be a major feather in their cap and could rally both fans and recruits. Expect high-energy sideline presence, aggressive blitz packages, and bold fourth-down decisions.

Prediction: Who Comes Out On Top?

Why This Game Matters

Final Thoughts